| 1 | /* -*- mode: c++; tab-width: 4; indent-tabs-mode: nil; c-basic-offset: 4 -*- */ |
| 2 | |
| 3 | /* |
| 4 | Copyright (C) 2007 Allen Kuo |
| 5 | Copyright (C) 2010 Alessandro Roveda |
| 6 | |
| 7 | This file is part of QuantLib, a free-software/open-source library |
| 8 | for financial quantitative analysts and developers - http://quantlib.org/ |
| 9 | |
| 10 | QuantLib is free software: you can redistribute it and/or modify it |
| 11 | under the terms of the QuantLib license. You should have received a |
| 12 | copy of the license along with this program; if not, please email |
| 13 | <quantlib-dev@lists.sf.net>. The license is also available online at |
| 14 | <http://quantlib.org/license.shtml>. |
| 15 | |
| 16 | This program is distributed in the hope that it will be useful, but WITHOUT |
| 17 | ANY WARRANTY; without even the implied warranty of MERCHANTABILITY or FITNESS |
| 18 | FOR A PARTICULAR PURPOSE. See the license for more details. |
| 19 | */ |
| 20 | |
| 21 | /*! \file nonlinearfittingmethods.hpp |
| 22 | \brief nonlinear methods to fit a bond discount function |
| 23 | */ |
| 24 | |
| 25 | #ifndef quantlib_nonlinear_fitting_methods_hpp |
| 26 | #define quantlib_nonlinear_fitting_methods_hpp |
| 27 | |
| 28 | #include <ql/termstructures/yield/fittedbonddiscountcurve.hpp> |
| 29 | #include <ql/math/bspline.hpp> |
| 30 | #include <ql/shared_ptr.hpp> |
| 31 | |
| 32 | namespace QuantLib { |
| 33 | |
| 34 | //! Exponential-splines fitting method |
| 35 | /*! Fits a discount function to the exponential form |
| 36 | \f[ |
| 37 | d(t) = \sum_{i=1}^9 c_i \exp^{-kappa i t} |
| 38 | \f] |
| 39 | where the constants \f$ c_i \f$ and \f$ \kappa \f$ are to be |
| 40 | determined. See:Li, B., E. DeWetering, G. Lucas, R. Brenner |
| 41 | and A. Shapiro (2001): "Merrill Lynch Exponential Spline |
| 42 | Model." Merrill Lynch Working Paper |
| 43 | |
| 44 | \f$ \kappa \f$ can be passed a fixed value, in which case it |
| 45 | is excluded from optimization. |
| 46 | |
| 47 | \warning convergence may be slow |
| 48 | */ |
| 49 | class ExponentialSplinesFitting |
| 50 | : public FittedBondDiscountCurve::FittingMethod { |
| 51 | public: |
| 52 | ExponentialSplinesFitting(bool constrainAtZero = true, |
| 53 | const Array& weights = Array(), |
| 54 | const ext::shared_ptr<OptimizationMethod>& optimizationMethod = |
| 55 | ext::shared_ptr<OptimizationMethod>(), |
| 56 | const Array& l2 = Array(), |
| 57 | Real minCutoffTime = 0.0, |
| 58 | Real maxCutoffTime = QL_MAX_REAL, |
| 59 | Size numCoeffs = 9, |
| 60 | Real fixedKappa = Null<Real>()); |
| 61 | ExponentialSplinesFitting(bool constrainAtZero, |
| 62 | const Array& weights, |
| 63 | const Array& l2, |
| 64 | Real minCutoffTime = 0.0, |
| 65 | Real maxCutoffTime = QL_MAX_REAL, |
| 66 | Size numCoeffs = 9, |
| 67 | Real fixedKappa = Null<Real>()); |
| 68 | ExponentialSplinesFitting(bool constrainAtZero, |
| 69 | Size numCoeffs, |
| 70 | Real fixedKappa, |
| 71 | const Array& weights = Array() ); |
| 72 | |
| 73 | |
| 74 | std::unique_ptr<FittedBondDiscountCurve::FittingMethod> clone() const override; |
| 75 | private: |
| 76 | Natural numCoeffs_; |
| 77 | Real fixedKappa_; |
| 78 | Size size() const override; |
| 79 | DiscountFactor discountFunction(const Array& x, Time t) const override; |
| 80 | }; |
| 81 | |
| 82 | |
| 83 | //! Nelson-Siegel fitting method |
| 84 | /*! Fits a discount function to the form |
| 85 | \f$ d(t) = \exp^{-r t}, \f$ where the zero rate \f$r\f$ is defined as |
| 86 | \f[ |
| 87 | r \equiv c_0 + (c_1 + c_2)*(1 - exp^{-\kappa*t})/(\kappa t) - |
| 88 | c_2 exp^{ - \kappa t}. |
| 89 | \f] |
| 90 | See: Nelson, C. and A. Siegel (1985): "Parsimonious modeling of yield |
| 91 | curves for US Treasury bills." NBER Working Paper Series, no 1594. |
| 92 | */ |
| 93 | class NelsonSiegelFitting |
| 94 | : public FittedBondDiscountCurve::FittingMethod { |
| 95 | public: |
| 96 | NelsonSiegelFitting(const Array& weights = Array(), |
| 97 | const ext::shared_ptr<OptimizationMethod>& optimizationMethod = |
| 98 | ext::shared_ptr<OptimizationMethod>(), |
| 99 | const Array& l2 = Array(), |
| 100 | Real minCutoffTime = 0.0, |
| 101 | Real maxCutoffTime = QL_MAX_REAL); |
| 102 | NelsonSiegelFitting(const Array& weights, |
| 103 | const Array& l2, |
| 104 | Real minCutoffTime = 0.0, |
| 105 | Real maxCutoffTime = QL_MAX_REAL); |
| 106 | std::unique_ptr<FittedBondDiscountCurve::FittingMethod> clone() const override; |
| 107 | private: |
| 108 | Size size() const override; |
| 109 | DiscountFactor discountFunction(const Array& x, Time t) const override; |
| 110 | }; |
| 111 | |
| 112 | |
| 113 | //! Svensson Fitting method |
| 114 | /*! Fits a discount function to the form |
| 115 | \f$ d(t) = \exp^{-r t}, \f$ where the zero rate \f$r\f$ is defined as |
| 116 | \f[ |
| 117 | r \equiv c_0 + (c_0 + c_1)(\frac {1 - exp^{-\kappa t}}{\kappa t}) |
| 118 | - c_2exp^{ - \kappa t} |
| 119 | + c_3{(\frac{1 - exp^{-\kappa_1 t}}{\kappa_1 t} -exp^{-\kappa_1 t})}. |
| 120 | \f] |
| 121 | See: Svensson, L. (1994). Estimating and interpreting forward |
| 122 | interest rates: Sweden 1992-4. |
| 123 | Discussion paper, Centre for Economic Policy Research(1051). |
| 124 | */ |
| 125 | class SvenssonFitting |
| 126 | : public FittedBondDiscountCurve::FittingMethod { |
| 127 | public: |
| 128 | SvenssonFitting(const Array& weights = Array(), |
| 129 | const ext::shared_ptr<OptimizationMethod>& optimizationMethod = |
| 130 | ext::shared_ptr<OptimizationMethod>(), |
| 131 | const Array& l2 = Array(), |
| 132 | Real minCutoffTime = 0.0, |
| 133 | Real maxCutoffTime = QL_MAX_REAL); |
| 134 | SvenssonFitting(const Array& weights, |
| 135 | const Array& l2, |
| 136 | Real minCutoffTime = 0.0, |
| 137 | Real maxCutoffTime = QL_MAX_REAL); |
| 138 | std::unique_ptr<FittedBondDiscountCurve::FittingMethod> clone() const override; |
| 139 | private: |
| 140 | Size size() const override; |
| 141 | DiscountFactor discountFunction(const Array& x, Time t) const override; |
| 142 | }; |
| 143 | |
| 144 | |
| 145 | //! CubicSpline B-splines fitting method |
| 146 | /*! Fits a discount function to a set of cubic B-splines |
| 147 | \f$ N_{i,3}(t) \f$, i.e., |
| 148 | \f[ |
| 149 | d(t) = \sum_{i=0}^{n} c_i * N_{i,3}(t) |
| 150 | \f] |
| 151 | |
| 152 | See: McCulloch, J. 1971, "Measuring the Term Structure of |
| 153 | Interest Rates." Journal of Business, 44: 19-31 |
| 154 | |
| 155 | McCulloch, J. 1975, "The tax adjusted yield curve." |
| 156 | Journal of Finance, XXX811-30 |
| 157 | |
| 158 | \warning "The results are extremely sensitive to the number |
| 159 | and location of the knot points, and there is no |
| 160 | optimal way of selecting them." James, J. and |
| 161 | N. Webber, "Interest Rate Modelling" John Wiley, |
| 162 | 2000, pp. 440. |
| 163 | */ |
| 164 | class CubicBSplinesFitting |
| 165 | : public FittedBondDiscountCurve::FittingMethod { |
| 166 | public: |
| 167 | CubicBSplinesFitting(const std::vector<Time>& knotVector, |
| 168 | bool constrainAtZero = true, |
| 169 | const Array& weights = Array(), |
| 170 | const ext::shared_ptr<OptimizationMethod>& optimizationMethod = |
| 171 | ext::shared_ptr<OptimizationMethod>(), |
| 172 | const Array& l2 = Array(), |
| 173 | Real minCutoffTime = 0.0, |
| 174 | Real maxCutoffTime = QL_MAX_REAL); |
| 175 | CubicBSplinesFitting(const std::vector<Time>& knotVector, |
| 176 | bool constrainAtZero, |
| 177 | const Array& weights, |
| 178 | const Array& l2, |
| 179 | Real minCutoffTime = 0.0, |
| 180 | Real maxCutoffTime = QL_MAX_REAL); |
| 181 | //! cubic B-spline basis functions |
| 182 | Real basisFunction(Integer i, Time t) const; |
| 183 | std::unique_ptr<FittedBondDiscountCurve::FittingMethod> clone() const override; |
| 184 | private: |
| 185 | Size size() const override; |
| 186 | DiscountFactor discountFunction(const Array& x, Time t) const override; |
| 187 | BSpline splines_; |
| 188 | Size size_; |
| 189 | //! N_th basis function coefficient to solve for when d(0)=1 |
| 190 | Natural N_; |
| 191 | }; |
| 192 | |
| 193 | |
| 194 | //! Simple polynomial fitting method |
| 195 | /* Fits a discount function to the simple polynomial form: |
| 196 | \f[ |
| 197 | d(t) = \sum_{i=0}^{degree} c_i * t^{i} |
| 198 | \f] |
| 199 | where the constants \f$ c_i \f$ are to be determined. |
| 200 | |
| 201 | This is a simple/crude, but fast and robust, means of fitting |
| 202 | a yield curve. |
| 203 | */ |
| 204 | class SimplePolynomialFitting |
| 205 | : public FittedBondDiscountCurve::FittingMethod { |
| 206 | public: |
| 207 | SimplePolynomialFitting(Natural degree, |
| 208 | bool constrainAtZero = true, |
| 209 | const Array& weights = Array(), |
| 210 | const ext::shared_ptr<OptimizationMethod>& optimizationMethod = |
| 211 | ext::shared_ptr<OptimizationMethod>(), |
| 212 | const Array& l2 = Array(), |
| 213 | Real minCutoffTime = 0.0, |
| 214 | Real maxCutoffTime = QL_MAX_REAL); |
| 215 | SimplePolynomialFitting(Natural degree, |
| 216 | bool constrainAtZero, |
| 217 | const Array& weights, |
| 218 | const Array& l2, |
| 219 | Real minCutoffTime = 0.0, |
| 220 | Real maxCutoffTime = QL_MAX_REAL); |
| 221 | std::unique_ptr<FittedBondDiscountCurve::FittingMethod> clone() const override; |
| 222 | private: |
| 223 | Size size() const override; |
| 224 | DiscountFactor discountFunction(const Array& x, Time t) const override; |
| 225 | Size size_; |
| 226 | }; |
| 227 | |
| 228 | |
| 229 | //! Spread fitting method helper |
| 230 | /* Fits a spread curve on top of a discount function according to given parametric method |
| 231 | */ |
| 232 | class SpreadFittingMethod |
| 233 | : public FittedBondDiscountCurve::FittingMethod { |
| 234 | public: |
| 235 | SpreadFittingMethod(const ext::shared_ptr<FittingMethod>& method, |
| 236 | Handle<YieldTermStructure> discountCurve, |
| 237 | Real minCutoffTime = 0.0, |
| 238 | Real maxCutoffTime = QL_MAX_REAL); |
| 239 | std::unique_ptr<FittedBondDiscountCurve::FittingMethod> clone() const override; |
| 240 | protected: |
| 241 | void init() override; |
| 242 | |
| 243 | private: |
| 244 | Size size() const override; |
| 245 | DiscountFactor discountFunction(const Array& x, Time t) const override; |
| 246 | // underlying parametric method |
| 247 | ext::shared_ptr<FittingMethod> method_; |
| 248 | // adjustment in case underlying discount curve has different reference date |
| 249 | DiscountFactor rebase_; |
| 250 | // discount curve from on top of which the spread will be calculated |
| 251 | Handle<YieldTermStructure> discountingCurve_; |
| 252 | }; |
| 253 | } |
| 254 | |
| 255 | |
| 256 | #endif |
| 257 | |