| 1 | /* -*- mode: c++; tab-width: 4; indent-tabs-mode: nil; c-basic-offset: 4 -*- */ |
| 2 | |
| 3 | /* |
| 4 | Copyright (C) 2008 Roland Lichters |
| 5 | |
| 6 | This file is part of QuantLib, a free-software/open-source library |
| 7 | for financial quantitative analysts and developers - http://quantlib.org/ |
| 8 | |
| 9 | QuantLib is free software: you can redistribute it and/or modify it |
| 10 | under the terms of the QuantLib license. You should have received a |
| 11 | copy of the license along with this program; if not, please email |
| 12 | <quantlib-dev@lists.sf.net>. The license is also available online at |
| 13 | <http://quantlib.org/license.shtml>. |
| 14 | |
| 15 | This program is distributed in the hope that it will be useful, but WITHOUT |
| 16 | ANY WARRANTY; without even the implied warranty of MERCHANTABILITY or FITNESS |
| 17 | FOR A PARTICULAR PURPOSE. See the license for more details. |
| 18 | */ |
| 19 | |
| 20 | #include <ql/experimental/credit/onefactorcopula.hpp> |
| 21 | |
| 22 | using namespace std; |
| 23 | |
| 24 | namespace QuantLib { |
| 25 | |
| 26 | //------------------------------------------------------------------------- |
| 27 | Real OneFactorCopula::conditionalProbability(Real p, Real m) const { |
| 28 | //------------------------------------------------------------------------- |
| 29 | calculate (); |
| 30 | // FIXME |
| 31 | if (p < 1e-10) return 0; |
| 32 | |
| 33 | Real c = correlation_->value(); |
| 34 | |
| 35 | Real res = cumulativeZ (z: (inverseCumulativeY (p) - sqrt(x: c) * m) |
| 36 | / sqrt (x: 1. - c)); |
| 37 | |
| 38 | QL_REQUIRE (res >= 0 && res <= 1, |
| 39 | "conditional probability " << res << "out of range" ); |
| 40 | |
| 41 | return res; |
| 42 | } |
| 43 | |
| 44 | //------------------------------------------------------------------------- |
| 45 | vector<Real> OneFactorCopula::conditionalProbability( |
| 46 | const vector<Real>& prob, |
| 47 | Real m) const { |
| 48 | //------------------------------------------------------------------------- |
| 49 | calculate (); |
| 50 | vector<Real> p (prob.size(), 0); |
| 51 | for (Size i = 0; i < p.size(); i++) |
| 52 | p[i] = conditionalProbability (p: prob[i], m); |
| 53 | return p; |
| 54 | } |
| 55 | |
| 56 | //------------------------------------------------------------------------- |
| 57 | Real OneFactorCopula::cumulativeY (Real y) const { |
| 58 | //------------------------------------------------------------------------- |
| 59 | calculate (); |
| 60 | |
| 61 | QL_REQUIRE(!y_.empty(), "cumulative Y not tabulated yet" ); |
| 62 | |
| 63 | // linear interpolation on the tabulated cumulative distribution of Y |
| 64 | if (y < y_.front()) |
| 65 | return cumulativeY_.front(); |
| 66 | |
| 67 | for (Size i = 0; i < y_.size(); i++) { |
| 68 | if (y_[i] > y) |
| 69 | return ( (y_[i] - y) * cumulativeY_[i-1] |
| 70 | + (y - y_[i-1]) * cumulativeY_[i] ) |
| 71 | / (y_[i] - y_[i-1]); |
| 72 | } |
| 73 | |
| 74 | return cumulativeY_.back(); |
| 75 | } |
| 76 | |
| 77 | //------------------------------------------------------------------------- |
| 78 | Real OneFactorCopula::inverseCumulativeY (Real x) const { |
| 79 | //------------------------------------------------------------------------- |
| 80 | calculate (); |
| 81 | |
| 82 | QL_REQUIRE(!y_.empty(), "cumulative Y not tabulated yet" ); |
| 83 | |
| 84 | // linear interpolation on the tabulated cumulative distribution of Y |
| 85 | if (x < cumulativeY_.front()) |
| 86 | return y_.front(); |
| 87 | |
| 88 | for (Size i = 0; i < cumulativeY_.size(); i++) { |
| 89 | if (cumulativeY_[i] > x) |
| 90 | return ( (cumulativeY_[i] - x) * y_[i-1] |
| 91 | + (x - cumulativeY_[i-1]) * y_[i] ) |
| 92 | / (cumulativeY_[i] - cumulativeY_[i-1]); |
| 93 | } |
| 94 | |
| 95 | return y_.back(); |
| 96 | } |
| 97 | |
| 98 | //------------------------------------------------------------------------- |
| 99 | int OneFactorCopula::checkMoments (Real tolerance) const { |
| 100 | //------------------------------------------------------------------------- |
| 101 | calculate (); |
| 102 | |
| 103 | Real norm = 0, mean = 0, var = 0; |
| 104 | for (Size i = 0; i < steps(); i++) { |
| 105 | norm += densitydm (i); |
| 106 | mean += m(i) * densitydm (i); |
| 107 | var += pow (x: m(i), y: 2) * densitydm (i); |
| 108 | } |
| 109 | |
| 110 | QL_REQUIRE (fabs (norm - 1.0) < tolerance, "norm out of tolerance range" ); |
| 111 | QL_REQUIRE (fabs (mean) < tolerance, "mean out of tolerance range" ); |
| 112 | QL_REQUIRE (fabs (var - 1.0) < tolerance, "variance out of tolerance range" ); |
| 113 | |
| 114 | // FIXME: define range for Y via cutoff quantil? |
| 115 | Real zMin = -10; |
| 116 | Real zMax = +10; |
| 117 | Size zSteps = 200; |
| 118 | norm = 0; |
| 119 | mean = 0; |
| 120 | var = 0; |
| 121 | for (Size i = 1; i < zSteps; i++) { |
| 122 | Real z1 = zMin + (zMax - zMin) / zSteps * (i - 1); |
| 123 | Real z2 = zMin + (zMax - zMin) / zSteps * i; |
| 124 | Real z = (z1 + z2) / 2; |
| 125 | Real densitydz = cumulativeZ (z: z2) - cumulativeZ (z: z1); |
| 126 | norm += densitydz; |
| 127 | mean += z * densitydz; |
| 128 | var += pow (x: z, y: 2) * densitydz; |
| 129 | } |
| 130 | |
| 131 | QL_REQUIRE (fabs (norm - 1.0) < tolerance, "norm out of tolerance range" ); |
| 132 | QL_REQUIRE (fabs (mean) < tolerance, "mean out of tolerance range" ); |
| 133 | QL_REQUIRE (fabs (var - 1.0) < tolerance, "variance out of tolerance range" ); |
| 134 | |
| 135 | // FIXME: define range for Y via cutoff quantil? |
| 136 | Real yMin = -10; |
| 137 | Real yMax = +10; |
| 138 | Size ySteps = 200; |
| 139 | norm = 0; |
| 140 | mean = 0; |
| 141 | var = 0; |
| 142 | for (Size i = 1; i < ySteps; i++) { |
| 143 | Real y1 = yMin + (yMax - yMin) / ySteps * (i - 1); |
| 144 | Real y2 = yMin + (yMax - yMin) / ySteps * i; |
| 145 | Real y = (y1 + y2) / 2; |
| 146 | Real densitydy = cumulativeY (y: y2) - cumulativeY (y: y1); |
| 147 | norm += densitydy; |
| 148 | mean += y * densitydy; |
| 149 | var += y * y * densitydy; |
| 150 | } |
| 151 | |
| 152 | QL_REQUIRE (fabs (norm - 1.0) < tolerance, "norm out of tolerance range" ); |
| 153 | QL_REQUIRE (fabs (mean) < tolerance, "mean out of tolerance range" ); |
| 154 | QL_REQUIRE (fabs (var - 1.0) < tolerance, "variance out of tolerance range" ); |
| 155 | |
| 156 | return 0; |
| 157 | } |
| 158 | |
| 159 | } |
| 160 | |
| 161 | |