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Add time series explanation to index.md
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## Our Model
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### Time Series Decomposition Model
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*Time Series* is a term used to denote data indexed in time order. For example, daily metro user counts, annual revenue, etc. would all be time series data.
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In Time Series analysis, the data is usually split into 3 components; the Trend, Seasonality, and the Remainder, sometimes called noise.
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![time series decomposition example](https://miro.medium.com/max/972/1*OIJ3lrWwy7MPtQDS4QPgLg.png)
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*An example of Time Series Decomposition, courtesy of Daitan at medium.com*
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Trend represents the overall change in the data, whether it's increasing, or decreasing. It can also be of another form.
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Seasonality is the frequency in which the data is said to "recur". For example, a pizza parlor selling more pizzas on weekends can be represented by a weekly seasonality.
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It is also important to note that multiple seasonality compoments can be present, and there are methods to represent that, such as through the Fourier Series.
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The remainder is data which can't be explained through trend and seasonality, and holds the uncertainty and random fluctuations present in the data.
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### Hierarchical Survival Model
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## Optimization
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### Newsvendor Model

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